Climate Change Programme Consultations

Section 8 - Prosperity: Economic Opportunity

Contents

 

Long term outcome 3: create and retain local wealth, with a target to generate £100m a year of diversified economic revenue to the Shetland economy. 

Energy Transition presents a range of economic opportunities for Shetland at all scales from improving the performance of all our buildings through to large scale energy developments such as offshore wind and the local production of Hydrogen and synthetic fuels.

 

Retaining local wealth

Economic performance in Shetland remains strong, with the three key economic sectors being fisheries, oil & gas (O&G) and engineering.  Energy transition will have a substantial direct impact on these sectors. 

Our marine sector has the dual challenge of being both comparably more difficult to decarbonise and reacting to the demands for sea area made by renewable energy projects. A high level of engagement is therefore essential to ensure all interests are considered and balanced as far as is possible.

The prospects for continuing O&G production through Shetland are uncertain at the time of writing.  For further discussion please see Section 4.  However, the maturing basin reserves and the need to transition away from fossil fuels mean that the eventual end of O&G production here is inevitable.

Shetland has a strong supply chain in engineering and that local engineering sector will be key for maximising local benefit in any future energy scenario.  It is therefore essential that we ensure our local engineering supply chain has the skills and capabilities to engage in any new opportunities.

 

Creating Local Wealth

We are aware of the timeline and the scale of the opportunity.  Further information on the specific technologies can be found in Section 4.

The overarching opportunities for Shetland fall under four headings:

  1. Local supply chain opportunities
  2. Land and seabed rents and option payments
  3. Compensation for any activity displaced by development
  4. Direct community benefit as the local host, including local or shared ownership.

 

Local supply chain

The local supply chain is key to maximising the opportunities of any project, large or small and spreading the benefit across the isles.  The greater the proportion of project costs which can be recirculated into the Shetland economy through contracts and jobs, the more growth will result in the local economy. 

For this to be achieved, it is critical that early and close engagement and consultation takes place between energy developers and our existing industries. This will help shape future projects, capture local benefit and support successful delivery of projects in Shetland’s challenging remote environment.  The importance the Council has placed on local supply chain integration is highlighted by the fact that it is one of the Energy Development Principles, and further information on these can be found in Section 2.  The Crown Estate have asked offshore wind developers in the ScotWind round to provide Supply Chain Development Statements, which provide a structure for project specific supply chain information to be communicated with government and industry. Further information can be found in the case studies below.

 

Case Study – Oil and Gas Supply Chain Development

Shetland’s oil and gas experience was mixed:

  • Most upstream opportunities bypassed the islands being serviced from mainland UK or international sources although some forward staging for project activity and supply services were run out of Lerwick Harbour.
  • Significant midstream activity was achieved through SVT and the Port of Sullom Voe from the Brent, Ninian and Clair pipelines and production processed at Shetland Gas Plant.  However, considerable volumes bypassed Shetland, either via offshore loaded or exported through other pipeline systems to the UK mainland.
  • No downstream activity developed in Shetland as all products which were landed were then exported near to their raw state for refining and use elsewhere.

Shetland’s Oil & Gas midstream activity has supported the development of a highly skilled and capable local supply chain with a track record of supporting the delivery of major energy projects. In most cases, the local supply did not lead delivery, but supported critical elements on large-scale projects. The energy transition offers the opportunity to flip this model and try to capture greater local control of delivery which would lead to the retention of more local economic and community benefit.

Shetland benefits from a highly skilled, diverse supply chain that understands our key sectors and has been involved in a number of large-scale projects in recent years. 

Each of the developments will require an extensive supply chain to progress the projects through the different stages of development from feasibility to end-of-life and decommissioning.  Shetland currently has the capability to service many of these project stages but will have to upscale its capacity to be able to deliver on the number and size of these pipeline projects. 

 

Maximising Supply Chain Opportunities 

Shetland’s supply chain stakeholders (public sector and industry) are taking a coordinated ‘Team Shetland’ approach to engagement with developers and promoting Shetland’s capability and capacity to deliver large-scale energy transition projects.

The aim of this approach is to provide a first level supply chain forum to engage with developers and facilitate a strategic framework (based on the Energy Developers Principles) and action plan that will enable Shetland to maximise local supply chain content.   

Depending on the scale, status and timelines of projects the ‘Team Shetland’ approach will continue to take different forms of engagement, support and activity.

This will range from raising awareness to infrastructure development and will focus on: 

  • Developer/Investor and Supply Chain Engagement
  • Raising awareness of opportunities
  • Capability and Capacity Building
  • Infrastructure Development
  • Collaborative Approaches

These areas will focus on ensuring the local supply chain:

  • gains early stage engagement, insights and input into large-scale projects;
  • identifies opportunities and  gaps;
  • addresses barriers to delivery;
  • identifies and delivers infrastructure requirements;
  • works collaboratively together and with developers; and
  • secures necessary funding packages to deliver projects from or in Shetland.

 

Case Study - ScotWind – Supply Chain Development Statement (SCDS) Outlook

Crown Estate Scotland are encouraging early engagement with the local supply chain to maximise the benefits locally through the development of supply chain development statements. 

All ScotWind applicants were required to submit a Supply Chain Development Statement (SCDS) Outlook outlining the nature and location of supply chain activity across the four different stages of their project, which have been published by Crown Estate Scotland.  They are designed to promote and enable the sharing of information about the way supply chain capability can be developed and to establish a contractual commitment to deliver the finalised SCDS. The three initial outlooks for the NE1 site can be found for site 18, site 19 and site 20. Crown Estate Scotland estimate that ScotWind will lead to an average of £1.5bn per project investment in the Scottish supply chain.  The supply chain statements provide a summary of the commitment and the ambition for each project split across Scottish Expenditure, UK Expenditure, EU Expenditure and Elsewhere, split across the four stages of development from Development, Manufacturing & Fabrication, Installation and Operations.

As an example the Mainstream Renewable Power and Ocean Winds consortium plan for the project to deliver tangible local benefits by using an Operations and Maintenance (O&M) concept based on UK flagged vessels operating from O&M bases in Shetland.

 

Land and Seabed rents and option payments

The seabed around Scotland is owned by the Crown (the “landlord”) and managed by Crown Estate Scotland; consequently all onshore and offshore project payments will be made to them.  Approximately 15% of ScotWind acreage is inside the 12mile contour and 85% are between 12 and 200 miles.

The surplus generated by Crown Estate Scotland for the lease of seabed within the zone up to 12 miles from shore is transferred to the relevant local authority via the Scottish Government.  The formula for how these funds are distributed is the subject of bi-annual review and negotiation with COSLA on behalf of local authorities. Adjusting the 12 – 200 mile arrangements would require more fundamental overhaul by the Scottish Government. 

The detailed value of rental payments for Onshore Wind projects varies from project to project but are typically £5,000 per installed megawatt per annum. That is around 2.5% of projected wholesale generation value, assuming an electricity price of c£40 per MWh based on the last CfD pricing round and pre-price hike wholesale electricity prices.

The Crown Estate Scotland Annual Report 2021-22 estimate payments of around £4m per GW pa from offshore wind projects once operating.  These figures are to be updated as ScotWind projects progress and there is further detail on technology and final design.

In addition to rental payments, the ScotWind auction round has introduced the concept of option payments for time-bound exclusivity to develop an area of sea. In March 2021 Crown Estate Scotland conducted a review of the option fee structure and as a result, increased fees with the option fee cap increasing ten-fold.  The first 17 sites secured options payments of £700m for public spending, with NE1 securing a further £56m.  

 

Compensation for any activity displaced by development

Displacement of onshore activity has primarily concerned crofting and agricultural tenancies and is addressed by arrangements agreed between developers, landowners and tenants.

There are other users of the areas of interest for offshore energy, most notably fisheries. While the landlord – tenant relationship is different in detail at sea, the issues and solutions around compensation for displacement can be guided by the principles and practice developed onshore.

The seas around the islands have historically been and still are used for a wide range of purposes; those important to Shetland being fishing, navigation, aquaculture and leisure.

Fisheries and associated activity remain the most significant and enduring component of the Shetland economy. Fisheries related income, jobs and supply chain activity has remained more significant than Oil & Gas and remains the logical foundation for much of the island’s future sustainability and well-being.

Oil & Gas developments interfered with fisheries activity in the direct vicinity of platforms, but that was a relatively contained area. As of January 2018, there were 184 offshore rigs in the North Sea, with these much less concentrated than proposed offshore wind farms. Oil & Gas developments saw less restrictions over a large sea area compared to future offshore wind development.

Floating offshore wind has the potential to exclude current fishing activity from much larger areas, for NE1, c0.6% of Shetlands surrounding seas in one development, with further developments expected through future leasing rounds.

Beyond the direct impact of excluding catching activity, the wider impacts of offshore generation on fish stocks and other marine species are not well understood at this time as there is limited evidence available.  It is not clear how far the ScotWind round has fully assessed fisheries impact in its design. While the later INTOG round was accompanied by fisheries heat maps, among many other marine spatial maps, its inherent design was focused on other factors, i.e., Oil & Gas decarbonisation.

There is no substantive locus in offshore decision making for Local Authorities, affected sectors or other community representatives. That creates great uncertainty as to how local dependencies, interests or priorities will be recognised in any decision-making processes.  This is why the Council has included Sectoral Co-Existence and Environmental Protection as two of the Energy Development Principles.  We need to ensure developers commit to making disturbance payments during construction and compensation payments for the loss of fishing access and income (throughout development lifespan), along with scientific research and ongoing independent scientific monitoring. 

 

Direct Community Benefit to Shetland as the local host

Shetland Charitable Trust (SCT) was set up in 1974 to accept money from the Sullom Voe Oil Terminal. This was initially set at 1p/barrel until the agreement ended in 2000. This fund dispenses millions of pounds a year to the Shetland community, providing services such as support for the elderly and infirm as well as funds for local cultural and sporting activities. As a charity, SCT is restricted in what it can do.

The Scottish Government set out the expectation that energy developers should continue to offer meaningful community benefit as set out in the community benefits from onshore renewable energy developments, this publication provides the good practice principles.

These principles recommend that Community benefit packages for onshore wind developments should have a value to the equivalent of at least £5,000 per installed megawatt per annum and be index-linked for the operational lifetime of the project. In addition, they also suggest that other onshore technologies should aspire to this level. 

The updated document is expected to have a larger focus on shared/local ownership as well as community benefits. The 2.8GW NE1 ScotWind site presents a huge opportunity for the Shetland community to receive significant benefits.

The Scottish Government’s National Marine Plan (NMP) Renewables Policy states that “Good Practice guidance for community benefit from offshore wind and marine renewable energy development” should be followed by developers. The Scottish Government are currently consulting on Good Practise Principles for Offshore Renewable Energy Developments, focusing on community benefits and local ownership, with publication due in 2023. 

Their draft included three key principles:

  • Designing a Community Benefit Package
  • Identification of Community
  • Maximising Impact

Following a review of the current community benefit payments delivered by offshore wind sites in the UK. There is a significant range in payment size, with the lowest being £20/MW per year, and the highest being £1,634/MW per year at Walney Extension. If this higher value was replicated at the NE1 site it would result in an annual community benefit payment of £4,575,200. It is worth noting that the two current floating offshore wind sites in the UK (Kincardine and Hywind) do not offer a community benefit fund.

Although the provision of community benefit is voluntary at this point (onshore and offshore), we believe that it is a fundamental component of any agreement developed between the community and the developer.  Shetland recognises the future significance of offshore wind in global decarbonisation and is open to the potential to development of a successful offshore renewable energy industry in an environmentally responsible manner. However, we are equally determined that must be done in a balanced fashion, is aligned with just transition principles and that it has to deliver benefits locally as well as nationally.

For this reason Benefits to the Shetland Community is included as one of the Energy Development Principles.  With the key points:

  • Fair Share of value from all developments, offshore and onshore
  • Financial Benefits to the community
  • Product Benefits; e.g. affordable energy for Shetland households
  • Public Goods Benefits

 

Identification of Host Community

Community Benefit is accepted as being intrinsically local, and the Scottish Government have stated they will not set up any fund or arrangements with central management or administration in order to avoid confusion with statutory provision and possible state aid issues.

It is widely accepted that land proximity is used to demarcate sea boundaries and to identify the most adjacent community.  Shetland residents and businesses have long been active across all the waters within the area identified as the Shetland Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ).  Those boundaries have been identified in line with that principle of geographical proximity. In addition, Shetland fishermen operate in all these waters.

Shetland has historically depended on our surrounding waters for economic, social and cultural activity and has a long track record of interest, activity and dependence on the seas around the islands. Offshore renewables is another chapter in the productive history of those seas and one which the Shetland community has a fundamental right to share in.

There are comments in Scottish Government guidance around whether developments would be visible or not. A large offshore turbine of the type under development within 40 miles of the Shetland coastline would be visible from the islands and many sea areas commonly visited. Further technical development may extend those ranges. In any case, we do not believe that visibility is a material component in defining host community; the host community is simply the one that is geographically closest.

Onshore Community Benefit arrangements have been negotiated on the basis of Shetland as a single overall community. However, there are provisions within the agreements for differences in detailed benefit values and decision making arrangements for specific geographical communities deemed to be most immediately identifiable as the explicit host for turbine siting.

We would suggest that these principles are also replicated for offshore development. Umbrella arrangements should recognise all of Shetland as the host community, although variations in detailed benefits could be agreed for different communities within the islands if that was deemed appropriate by the Shetland community as a whole.

 

Community Ownership

Community energy refers to the delivery of community-led renewable energy, energy demand reduction, and energy supply projects. Community energy puts people at the heart of the energy system. To achieve a Just Transition to net zero, we need to consider all the options, but key to success will be high levels of community engagement and demonstrating community benefit from an early stage.

There are many different opportunities for community ownership of energy projects.

  • Wholly community owned
  • Joint venture with a commercial or public sector partner
  • Co-operative where members of the community can own a share of the business
  • Community scale projects which are privately owned, but where community benefit may occur

There is no ‘one size fits all’ solution.

Community groups are uniquely placed to influence and ensure that the new developments help their people. It is important that the community approach is built on and wider challenges such as the local supply chain and skills availability are considered.

Community Energy Scotland state of the nation report.

 

Case study – Garth Wind Farm

The 4.5MW Garth Wind Farm is operated by the North Yell Development Council (NYDC) – a charity dedicated to community development in their area. Their motto ‘Enterprise, Initiative and Self Help’ fits the project’s aspirations well. 

After a lengthy lead in phase work began on site in late 2016.  Local company EMN Plant Ltd was the contractor for the roads, turbine bases and the electrical cables.  The project encountered some early issues which delayed getting on site.  However the contractor was able to accelerate the programme of works through the winter of 2016-17 to ensure the turbines could still be erected and commissioned by the 8th March 2017, ahead of the Feed in Tariff deadline.  The total construction cost of the windfarm was £8.3m.  Now that the wind farm is operational, NYDC manage the farm’s operation and finances.

The benefits of the Garth Wind Farm to the community are two-fold:

  1. five 900kW wind turbines generate clean electricity for the local grid,
  2. profit created is invested back into the local community via NYDC.

These funds have allowed NYDC to employ a Development Manager who is available to assist groups, businesses and individuals within the community.  NYDC also have small scale community grants and donations available to local facilities, groups and charities, and provided COVID response packages to community members during the pandemic.  The group have recently completed a community consultation to update their development plan for North Yell. 

As of March 2022 the Garth Wind Farm had produced 67,341,700 kWh of electricity since it was commissioned.

Lessons learnt

  • Anticipate delays for issues such as obtaining permissions, grid access etc.
  • Check landownership early
  • Look for local input for maintenance and support service once windfarm commissioned

 

We will statement creating and retaining local wealth

  • We will use the Energy Development Principles as the basis for discussion on Local supply chain integration, Sectoral co-existence and benefits to the Shetland community.
  • We will support and encourage community and local ownership in energy transition projects.

 

Securing external funding

The scale of investment required to transition to Net Zero is significant especially at a time of budget cuts both locally and nationally.  We would like to see a change to the current inefficient competitive approach to funding that has no guarantee of success and is often unsuccessful.  Switching to an alternative model with greater cooperation and collaboration between areas would be preferable. But until a more logical system emerges we must build our expertise to apply for external funding, develop a pipeline of projects in line with the priorities identified through the Shetland Net Zero Route Map and stakeholders to help streamline the grant application process, which is often reactive and operates at very short notice. 

 

We will statements securing external funding

  • We will support and encourage applications for external funding which align with the four long term outcomes.
  • We will use of the governance structure and action planning toolbox, as a mechanism to speed up the process of identifying consortia for funding bids.